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    DoggyDaddy

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    73   0   1
    Aug 18, 2011
    112,940
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    Southside Indy
    No, your math is not correct.

    Don't quit the day job.

    Yep, it's 0.4%.

    iu
     

    T.Lex

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    15   0   0
    Mar 30, 2011
    25,859
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    That math in isolation can lead to an inaccurate picture of the problem.

    With .4% confirmed positive, that leaves 99.6% of the population still at risk of contracting this.

    Let's use a 10x multiplier, though, to account for all the asymptomatic infections who were never tested. That still leaves 96% of the population at risk.

    If my math is correct, that means there's still 315 bazillion people who could be infected.
     

    Doug

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    69   0   0
    Sep 5, 2008
    6,630
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    Indianapolis
    That math in isolation can lead to an inaccurate picture of the problem.

    With .4% confirmed positive, that leaves 99.6% of the population still at risk of contracting this.

    Let's use a 10x multiplier, though, to account for all the asymptomatic infections who were never tested. That still leaves 96% of the population at risk.

    If my math is correct, that means there's still 315 bazillion people who could be infected.

    Wow, only 315 people in all of Brazil? It's a big country!
     

    Libertarian01

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    3   0   0
    Jan 12, 2009
    6,019
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    Fort Wayne
    Just a quick update.

    As I posted earlier I may(?) have a rare symptom of Covid 19, so on Monday around Noon I drove out to New Haven and got tested. Yick!

    I am supposed to get my results with 48 - 72 hours. Guess what? Still no results. I still feel fine.

    I am thinking of going to LabCorp and paying the $10 for the antibody test. For now I'll just fart around a bit more and wait.

    Regards,

    Doug
     

    nonobaddog

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    0   0   0
    Mar 10, 2015
    12,216
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    Tropical Minnesota
    That math in isolation can lead to an inaccurate picture of the problem.

    With .4% confirmed positive, that leaves 99.6% of the population still at risk of contracting this.

    Let's use a 10x multiplier, though, to account for all the asymptomatic infections who were never tested. That still leaves 96% of the population at risk.

    If my math is correct, that means there's still 315 bazillion people who could be infected.

    At the current rate of infection, this could take a long while - too long. Everybody under 40 should engage in lots of group sex to speed this up.
     

    foszoe

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    24   0   0
    Jun 2, 2011
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    Probably increase the curve if everybody goes bisexual for at least a year.

    At the current rate of infection, this could take a long while - too long. Everybody under 40 should engage in lots of group sex to speed this up.
     

    Alpo

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    2   0   0
    Sep 23, 2014
    13,877
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    Indy Metro Area
    That math in isolation can lead to an inaccurate picture of the problem.

    With .4% confirmed positive, that leaves 99.6% of the population still at risk of contracting this.

    Let's use a 10x multiplier, though, to account for all the asymptomatic infections who were never tested. That still leaves 96% of the population at risk.

    If my math is correct, that means there's still 315 bazillion people who could be infected.

    No....let's NOT "use a multiplier".

    Assumptions are what made the models all ****ed up in the first place.

    Your day job....you must be a cop too. :)
     

    chipbennett

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    0   0   0
    Oct 18, 2014
    11,103
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    Avon
    Manipulating the sample set to manipulate a person’s beliefs about an issue.

    I thought only Democrats did that.

    ...but a meme so it’s OK....I’ve been told numerous times.

    How about a comparison of COVID outcomes for Everytown "A" graded states vs "F" graded states?
     

    T.Lex

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    15   0   0
    Mar 30, 2011
    25,859
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    No....let's NOT "use a multiplier".

    Assumptions are what made the models all ****ed up in the first place.

    Your day job....you must be a cop too. :)
    haha

    Well, my only point to that was that for those people who tout the "there's way more positives out there than are tested," there's math to account for that. And it still leaves millions of people at risk. :)
     

    Alpo

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    2   0   0
    Sep 23, 2014
    13,877
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    Indy Metro Area
    haha

    Well, my only point to that was that for those people who tout the "there's way more positives out there than are tested," there's math to account for that. And it still leaves millions of people at risk. :)

    If the statistic I saw that 40%+ of the cases are in senior care and long-term care facilities, then most assuredly it probably doesn't matter what an able-bodied non-senior does on a daily basis. Now, if that is an incorrect statistic, I might modify my opinion. If I'm correct, we ought to get back to real life tomorrow.
     
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