You still did not answer the question.
At what price would YOU be willing to take it?
10k, 50k, 1mill??
Couldn't you just imagine what that world would be like?
Looks to me like Indiana's curve is flattened again. We were showing a top out )flattened curve) of around 5,000-5,500 new cases a day before Thanksgiving, then there was a predictable drop immediately after Thanksgiving followed by a predictable spike a few days after, but now we are around 5,000-5,500 again. The overwhelming majority of those who are going to show symptoms from whatever they did over the holiday will do so by the end of this week, so we could see some more high days.
Of course, even though the hyperbolic growth seems to have paused, that still means 5,000-5,500 new cases a day. Here's to hoping that it starts to drop....but I'm not holding my breath as COVID fatigue combined with "screw that, I'm going to do what I always do" kicks in for the next few weeks. Not judging...but we all know that's what is going to happen.
Source? Are these known or just merely possible? And whats the likelihood?
I'd need to know those before I make an informed decision instead of just using an image passed around on the internets.
The known side effect of COVID-19 is death.
I'm touched, Bug.
CFR calculated just now with worldometers data, down below 1.89% and down from 2.13% on 21 Nov. Cases that don't end up dead increasing much faster than those that do, apparently
At that rate, down under 1.5% by Jan 5 at the latest
That's good news then, has anybody seen any criteria for declaring the end of the 'pandemic'?
That's good news then, has anybody seen any criteria for declaring the end of the 'pandemic'?
That's good news then, has anybody seen any criteria for declaring the end of the 'pandemic'?
Assuming (without conceding) a CFR of 1%, the pandemic will end with ~3.3M dead Americans.
The vaccines are expected to mitigate that, naturally. But, we will just have to wait and see.
If the fat lady survives (obesity is apparently an underlying condition of importance), she probably won't start warming up until March or so.
Assuming (without conceding) a CFR of 1%, the pandemic will end with ~3.3M dead Americans.
The vaccines are expected to mitigate that, naturally. But, we will just have to wait and see.
If the fat lady survives (obesity is apparently an underlying condition of importance), she probably won't start warming up until March or so.
Assuming (without conceding) a CFR of 1%, the pandemic will end with ~3.3M dead Americans.
The vaccines are expected to mitigate that, naturally. But, we will just have to wait and see.
If the fat lady survives (obesity is apparently an underlying condition of importance), she probably won't start warming up until March or so.
3.3 million seems awfully high, seeing as we haven't even hit 10% of that so far.
Is that a benchmark from the WHO/CDC?
When Biden is inaugurated?
Indeed.
But, check my math. US population = ~330M. The pandemic will absolutely be over (herd immunity conjecture notwithstanding) once everyone has been exposed and their case resolved. With a CFR (Case Fatality Rate) of 1%, then 1% of 330M is 3.3M.
Ok, let's say the CFR is less than that and herd immunity kicks in at 2/3 infected. That's still ~2M dead Americans. And we're more than 10% of the way there.
I stopped caring about the WHO pretty early. And the guidance from the CDC through this has been... suspect. I don't expect much better from the Biden administration, either.