So the book of faces has posts that say IU is ICU is full and they are converting other areas to ICU. Any insight?
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wt...ital/531-361346cc-f322-4f88-ad13-803f55294ff5
From yesterday
So the book of faces has posts that say IU is ICU is full and they are converting other areas to ICU. Any insight?
So, it looks like today will either continue to have the doubling rate for deaths at 144 days or drop to 143 days.
That becomes important because if that days-to-double is static, or decreasing, that means we are technically in exponential growth. Now, that is a pretty big number right now - more than 4 months. But, if we stay in this exponential growth pattern... well... it means alot of pain for alot of people, not just in terms of who dies but the impact on society.
If we're at 250k now, in 4 months that would be 500k, 4 months after that 1M.
Of course, the treatments and vaccines that are coming available should cut into that before we go 4 months from now. I hope.
An alternate view, using the worldometers numbers for today to calculate percentage of those tested who eventually end up testing positive and dying, would imply a maximum of just under 488k dead if those odds were applied to 331million people
And there is no reason to believe the CFR is going anywhere but down, as it has declined from almost 4% to its current 2.13% a bit over 4 months. There is no compelling reason to agree, but the numbers can be tested in the future. Given the rate of decline, I would expect the CFR, approximated via worldometers numbers, to drop below 2% on or before Dec 4, 2020
That is pretty dependent on increasing testing.
So, it looks like today will either continue to have the doubling rate for deaths at 144 days or drop to 143 days.
That becomes important because if that days-to-double is static, or decreasing, that means we are technically in exponential growth. Now, that is a pretty big number right now - more than 4 months. But, if we stay in this exponential growth pattern... well... it means alot of pain for alot of people, not just in terms of who dies but the impact on society.
If we're at 250k now, in 4 months that would be 500k, 4 months after that 1M.
Of course, the treatments and vaccines that are coming available should cut into that before we go 4 months from now. I hope.
Do we have a new bank bug or are the ongoing reported COVID case rates being manipulated?
Got a nephew and niece in Chicago country that are in the hospital business, I'm hearing they're out of beds.
Why not call it the Amazon bug? They’ve probably gained the most from all this ****.
Do we have a new bank bug or are the ongoing reported COVID case rates being manipulated?
Got a nephew and niece in Chicago country that are in the hospital business, I'm hearing they're out of beds.
We've been thinking about selling a twin bed and getting a queen size for one of our spare bedrooms. Think they'd be interested?
Hospitals are "ALWAYS OUT OF OR SHORT ON BEDS"
Always.
Tell me, how is using past data to extrapolate the future any different than what TLex is doing?
Hospitals are "ALWAYS OUT OF OR SHORT ON BEDS"
Always.
From what I understand, they do often hit at or near maximum during flu season but there is usually another hospital in the region that can take over flow.Hospitals are "ALWAYS OUT OF OR SHORT ON BEDS"
Always.