I believe the conventional wisdom is 'polls are a snapshot in time'. They may not indicate conditions 15 months from now, but they indicate conditions NOW, plus or minus some error mathematically related to sample size and compositionHow statistically correct are polls 15 months before an election?
For general elections I have always heard September is the magic month. Is there such a thing for primaries?
Should we only believe polls taken in October of an election year? Didn't the ones from 2016 show Hitlary beating Trump? Was that accurate?
If the polls showed Trump being beaten, would you be so reticent to give them credence? I think you know the answer to that