Not by Trump, I saw in a graph earlier today that he isn't spending any money.Followers and likes can be bought. It seems those sorts of things could be even more "skewed".
Not by Trump, I saw in a graph earlier today that he isn't spending any money.Followers and likes can be bought. It seems those sorts of things could be even more "skewed".
Seriously?
It really isn't.Right now, it is as valid a metric as any.
Wonder who participates in polling? With most phones going to cellular numbers now, do people actually answer their phones anymore?
I screen every number that isn't recognized and most that are. I assume everyone else also takes full advantage of modern day communication tools?
Well, somewhat good news out of OH: HRC only up at about the margin of error. I still don't see how the numbers work out for her.
In the primary, she got 680k out of 1.2M Dem votes. Kasich alone got 950k on the Republican side, and Trump got 730k, of more than 2M votes. If HRC gets ALL of the Dem votes (which is unlikely), Trump only needs his own votes (incredibly likely) and half of Kasich's to win. If he gets that AND half of the other Republican votes, he wins.
I think.
As long as the polling is within or at the MOE.
Keep in mind that the people who vote in primaries are a different sort than the people who vote in general elections.
It really isn't.
Is it worth explaining why?
I tend to take FiveThirtyEight pretty seriously
The Polls Aren?t Skewed: Trump Really Is Losing Badly | FiveThirtyEight